Thursday, March 25, 2010

Will the Iraqi Shia accept Allawi as PM?

Back in 2005 I remember some people asking me if I really support Allawi after I expressed some support for him in a comment. "He's a Baathist," they said. But he's not a Saddamist and he's a Shia, I say, and that makes him unlikely to allow the mass murder of Shia (like Saddamists did and would again if given the opportunity). Allawi is also secular and pro-American, and that's cool with me.

Furthermore, I am looking forward to an Iraqi PM who can lead effectively and intelligently. I want to see an Iraqi PM take those magic wands out of the hands of ISF and give them the most high tech and validated equipment. Nouri al Maliki has proven to be weak in that area.

In the meantime, the greatest worry may be that if Allawi's bloc gets cut out of power, the Sunni Arabs, who boycotted the last election, could return to the insurgency. Al-Maliki already has accused Allawi of harboring former Baathists, the party of Saddam Hussein, in his coalition.

Saddam, a Sunni, ruthlessly repressed Shiites during his rule. Shiite clerics are signaling that they never would accept a government led by Allawi.

This does not bode well for a peaceful resolution of Iraq's political divisions, and that, in turn, could complicate the U.S. withdrawal.

I hope that Iraqis do not return to sectarian violence, no matter who wins this election.

1 comment :

gilgamesh X said...

my comment:

"He's a Baathist," they said. But he's not a Saddamist

could you explain the difference ? wasn't it 3Aflaq, the founder of Baathism, who made Saddam the leader of this same party ? Does Allawi stick to Baathism's aims "unity, freedom, socialism" ? Allawi and socialism ? Baathism is a kind of master race ideology. Baathism doesn't know democracy.

and he's a Shia, I say, and that makes him unlikely to allow the mass murder of Shia (like Saddamists did and would again if given the opportunity).

just being shia means nothing. Saddam also killed even his own cousin. and the majority of baath party members were Shia due to the demographics. that doesn't count. in Iraq even family members did report on each other, you know this, so Allawi being a shia is by no means a guarantee that he wouldn't go on a killing rampage on Shia.

I doubt that he could do this but this excuse is a bit too cheap. After all, Shroogis are also Shia but contempted generally by Shia and Sunna.

Allawi is also secular and pro-American

What does it mean to be secular in Iraq ? Just selling alcohol or what ?

and being pro-american is no necessary criterion, being a friend of america is okay, but the Iraqi politican has to be pro-IRAQI, this is by far more important than being friendly to America.

And being pro-Iraqi does not mean to travel to Saudi Jarabstan or Turkey to get an approval for rule. Adding this to his baathism and jarabstani nationalism, I would say, this man want to push back Iraq to the Jarabstani family.

Instead of pursueing those who send us their youth to kill us like Saudi Jarabstan or those who faciliate terrorism like Ba3athi Syria, he goes there to beg and bow down.

Iraq is not to serve Iyad Allawi but vice versa.

If Allawi just bows down to the Arabs to buy time, I say okay, otherwise I say to the Saddam without mustache: 6a7 7adhek ya Iyad klautchi.